For the Chinese steel industry, iron ore is an inexplicable pain. At the moment, people are increasingly worried about coking coal, another important raw material for steel production, or will become the next "iron ore." Data show that in 2009 China's coking coal imports amounted to 34.4 million tons, an increase of 402%, becoming a net importer; in 2010 coking coal imports of 47.27 million tons, an increase of 37%. While China's steel enterprises are increasingly dependent on overseas coking coal, international coking coal prices have also been rising, and all the way to break through $340/ton, which is still at a high level. A few days ago, it was reported that the National Energy Administration is studying the development of special and scarce coal management methods to implement protective development for special and scarce coal types such as coking coal. An industry insider said in an interview with this reporter that if this policy is implemented, it will further expand the supply and demand gap of domestic coking coal. Coking coal will also stage "hungry" Australia's coking coal exports account for more than 60% of the global market. Therefore, the market has been worried that the flooding in the coal-producing area of ​​Australia at the end of last year will affect the global coking coal supply, resulting in continuous coking coal prices. rise. However, according to sources from the International Energy Network, the latest data show that although the main export destination of coking coal, Queensland, Australia, coal production was reduced due to flooding, but coking coal exports still increased by 3% in 2011. This also proves to some extent the opinion of some market analysts: Compared with floods, the expanding demand in the Chinese market is the driving force behind the rise in coking coal prices. Coking coal is an important raw material in the steel production process. As the world's largest steel producer, like iron ore, China's coking coal demand is also very alarming. It is reported that in 2010 China's production of crude steel broke through 600 million tons, reaching 262.54 million tons. Because of the 1 ton of iron, it takes about 2 tons of iron ore and 1.4 tons of coke, while 1 ton of coke requires 1.4-1.6 tons of coking coal, which means that the amount of coking coal consumed in China's steelmaking last year exceeded 1 billion tons. The amount of iron ore consumed is similar. On the other hand, although China's coal resources are abundant, high-quality coking coal is quite scarce, and the main coking coal and fat coal resources are insufficient, especially the coking coal resources with strong cohesiveness are less. Data show that as of the end of 2009, the national coal reserves of reserves of 1.31 trillion tons, of which high-quality coking coal, fat coal and lean coal (three belong to the main coking coal) resource reserves of only about 30 billion tons. Due to the scarcity of resources, Fang Jun, the director of the National Energy Administration’s coal division, said in an interview with the media that during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period, the Energy Bureau will study and formulate special and scarce coal management methods for special and scarce coal such as coking coal. Implement protective development. At present, the National Energy Administration is organizing a national coking coal resource survey, the purpose of which is to find out the occurrence, development and utilization of the national coking coal resources. After the completion of the investigation, the Energy Bureau will combine the development of the coal industry with the “Twelfth Five-Year Planâ€. Planning to determine the development layout of national coking coal resources during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period. "If this is the case, the (coking coal supply) gap will be further expanded, and the price may be pushed up again." Zhang Tieshan, an analyst at "My Steel Network", told this reporter. Chinese steel companies need to take precautions about whether coking coal may be iron ore. Zhang Bochun, secretary general of Hebei Coking Coal Association, said in an interview with this reporter: "There is indeed this possibility." "China's crude steel output is growing rapidly. The use of coke is faster than the production." Zhang Tieshan also expressed to the reporter the concern about the tight supply of coking coal. "There is a different situation between coal coke and iron ore. That is, steel can be reused, and coking coal is not If it burns, it will be gone." Therefore, Zhang Tieshan believes that if there is capacity, domestic steel enterprises should plan ahead as soon as possible. Baosteel, which has always been regarded as the industry's vane, has once again been at the forefront. On February 28, Baosteel announced a long-term agreement with Australia Rio Tinto Group for coking coal cooperation. Baosteel became the first coking coal long-term customer of Rio Tinto in China. According to the agreement, Rio Tinto will supply Baosteel with high-quality coking coal from this year for a period of three years. However, Baosteel did not disclose the specific content of the agreement and the annual supply of coking coal. In addition to signing long-term supply agreements, there are also some steel companies that have "first made a strong move" in other ways. For example, Shanxi Coking Coal and Taigang Group jointly established Shanxi Coal and Steel Energy Development Co., Ltd.; WISCO went abroad and signed a non-binding memorandum of understanding with RML to subscribe for 8% of the company's shares and purchase it. Owned a 40% stake in the Zambezi coal project in Mozambique.
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